Published: Mon, April 16, 2018
People | By Neil Grant

Normal monsoon expected this season: IMD

Normal monsoon expected this season: IMD

The country is likely to see normal monsoon rains, though there's a threat from an anomalous warming in the Indian Ocean, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Monday.

As per the local weather forecast, there is a possibility of rain, thunderstorm or dust-storm in various districts of the region.

In 2017, while IMD predicted 96 percent average rainfall in its first forecast in April, the monsoon season over the country as a whole was 97 per cent of its Long Period Average (LPA).

A normal monsoon will not only aid agriculture growth but could have a positive impact on the overall rural economy crucial for the ruling BJP government as it faces critical state elections followed by the big National Polls in 2019.

The four-month monsoon season provides about 70 per cent of the country's annual rainfall.

Assessment of onset of monsoon will be done on May 15.

The IMD will issue the update in early June, as a part of the second stage forecast. Last year, rainfall was close to normal at 95% of the LPA, while in 2016 rains were recorded at 97% of LPA.

About half of India's farm output comes from summer-sown kharif crops, such as rice, sugar, cotton, coarse cereals, which are dependent on South-west monsoon. A normal monsoon is in the range of 96-104 percent of the LPA.

According to Skymet Weather, Monsoon 2018 is likely to be normal at 100% (with an error margin of +/-5%) of the long period average (LPA) of 887 mm for the four-month period from June to September.

Like this: