Published: Tue, April 17, 2018
Arts&Culture | By Antoinette Montgomery

New Jersey Democrats in Strong Position to Flip GOP Districts

New Jersey Democrats in Strong Position to Flip GOP Districts

"Not only are New Jersey Democrats doing better on the generic House ballot statewide, but the shift is coming nearly entirely from districts now held by the GOP", Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute, said in a statement.

The Globe noted Klarman's long-standing opposition to Trump.

The poll found Democrats leading by double-digit margins on their ability to handle sexual harassment, health care and gun violence. That could reflect economic improvement making its way to less-educated, lower-income groups; in a weekly survey by Bloomberg, consumer sentiment was its best in 17 years last week.

Additionally, Klarman has donated roughly $2 million to left-leaning nonprofits organizations pushing gun control, environment protections and other initiatives. The poll found that 54 percent of New Jersey voters said they would vote or lean toward voting for the Democratic candidate in their district, while 35 percent would support the Republican.

Just 35 percent of state residents approve of the plan, while 46 percent don't like it, according to the poll.

Klarman has always had a distaste for Trump, even backing Hillary Clinton in the past presidential election, after Tump won the Republican nomination. His average approval rating at 15 months in office is the lowest on record for any president in polling, dating to the Truman administration.

Almost 40 percent of registered voters believe it is extremely important that political candidates share their views on gun control.

Republicans have sought to balance that risk by tying Democratic candidates to Pelosi.

A Washington Post-ABC information poll released Monday showed a nationwide tightening for Democrats at a generic congressional ballot among registered voters, right down to a benefit of 4 percent points in 47 percent.

Only 34 percent of New Jersey voters approve of the job Trump is doing, while 61 percent disapprove. (This is much less negative than Trump's 57-36 percent unfavorable-favorable score, albeit with a substantially higher share of don't knows.) As such, Pelosi's impact looks like a wash overall - except, potentially, in terms of motivating the Republican base.

Klarman told the paper that he wanted to use the money he was saving from the Republican tax overhaul to "invest" in Democrats.

The poll of 703 New Jersey adults, including a subset of 632 registered voters, was conducted from April 6 to April 10. It had a margin of error plus or minus 3.7 percentage points for your complete sample and 3.9 percentage points for registered voters.

The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of NY, N.Y., with sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt Associates of Rockville, Md.

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